Flamengo vs Penarol: result 0-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL LibertadoresQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 19, 2024 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Flamengo vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-1 on September 19, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 13′J. CabreraPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamengo have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Penarol have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Bahia(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 25, 2024 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 4-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Miramar(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 21, 2024 | The Strongest(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 14, 2024 | The Strongest(home) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Flamengo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2019 | Penarol 0-0 Flamengo | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 4, 2019 | Flamengo 0-1 Penarol | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
How many goals should we expect?
Flamengo score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Penarol | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flamengo sit 1st in CONMEBOL Libertadores (16 points from 6 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy