Coritiba vs Flamengo: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba, Paraná
The Footlab AI model makes Flamengo the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Coritiba. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coritiba vs Flamengo?
Flamengo starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coritiba vs Flamengo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coritiba
4-2-3-1- 32Pedro Rocha
- 19S. Gómez
- 21Thiago Santos
- 10Josué
- 7J. Lavega
- 77Breno Lopes
- 55Jacy
- 23Tiago Cóser
- 14F. Bustos
- 6Felipe Jonatan
- 1Pedro Luccas
Flamengo
4-2-3-1- 9Pedro
- 15J. Carrascal
- 16Samuel Lino
- 5E. Pulgar
- 11Lucas Paquetá
- 8Saúl
- 4Léo Pereira
- 3Léo Ortiz
- 26Alex Sandro
- 2G. Varela
- 1A. Rossi
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coritiba have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Flamengo have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-5 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Santos(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Coritiba win, 0 draws, 5 Flamengo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Flamengo 3-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Coritiba 2-3 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Flamengo 3-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Coritiba 1-0 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Coritiba score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Flamengo score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Flamengo | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coritiba sit 11th in Serie A (39 points from 30 matches) and Flamengo sit 1st (64 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58 | 25 | 64 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | 39 |
A question about Coritiba vs Flamengo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coritiba vs Flamengo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flamengo the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Coritiba.
- Where and when is Coritiba vs Flamengo played?
- Coritiba vs Flamengo is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.