Flamurtari vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Flamurtari, Vlorë
The Footlab model makes Flamurtari the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Iliria Fushë-Krujë. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flamurtari vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Flamurtari starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,596).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamurtari have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Iliria Fushë-Krujë have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 4-1 | Superliga |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Apolonia Fier(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lushnja(away) | 3-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Luftëtari(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Flamurtari score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Iliria Fushë-Krujë score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamurtari | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flamurtari vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
- The Footlab model makes Flamurtari the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Iliria Fushë-Krujë.
- Where and when is Flamurtari vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë played?
- Flamurtari vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Flamurtari, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.