Kastrioti Krujë vs FK Kukesi: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Redi Maloku, Fushë-Krujë
The Footlab model makes Kastrioti Krujë the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for FK Kukesi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kastrioti Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Kastrioti Krujë (1,520) and FK Kukesi (1,513).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastrioti Krujë have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; FK Kukesi have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Lushnja(away) | 4-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Luftëtari(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(away) | 0-4 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Laci(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maliqi(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 28, 2026 | Butrinti Sarandë(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Bylis B(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kastrioti Krujë win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FK Kukesi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë 0-2 FK Kukesi | 1st Division |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë 2-1 FK Kukesi | 1st Division |
| Nov 3, 2025 | FK Kukesi 0-1 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Kastrioti Krujë 2-0 FK Kukesi | 1st Division |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Kastrioti Krujë 1-0 FK Kukesi | 1st Division |
| Oct 20, 2024 | FK Kukesi 0-1 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Kastrioti Krujë vs FK Kukesi on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kastrioti Krujë score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Kukesi score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastrioti Krujë | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| FK Kukesi | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kastrioti Krujë sit 6th in 1st Division (39 points from 33 matches) and FK Kukesi sit 10th (31 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kastrioti Krujë | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 57 | 39 |
| 10 | FK Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 50 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kastrioti Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
- The Footlab model makes Kastrioti Krujë the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for FK Kukesi.
- Where and when is Kastrioti Krujë vs FK Kukesi played?
- Kastrioti Krujë vs FK Kukesi is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Redi Maloku, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.