Fleetwood Town vs Bath City: result 4-1 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on October 22, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Fleetwood Town vs Bath City?
Fleetwood Town won 4-1 on October 22, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 43′Jamie McGuireFleetwood Town
- 45′J. VardyFleetwood Town
- 74′Paul StonehouseBath City
- 83′Gareth Jonathan SeddonFleetwood Town
- 90′J. VardyFleetwood Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleetwood Town have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bath City have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2011 | Alfreton Town(away) | 4-1 | National League |
| Oct 14, 2011 | Lincoln(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Oct 11, 2011 | Newport County(home) | 1-4 | National League |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Forest Green(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2011 | Stockport County(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Braintree(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Oct 11, 2011 | Cambridge United(home) | 3-4 | National League |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Darlington(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Lincoln(away) | 0-2 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fleetwood Town score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 0.8 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bath City | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy