Malvern Town vs Bath City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Malvern Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Bath City?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,795) and Bath City (1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malvern Town vs Bath City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Bath City
Not enough data to predict the Bath City lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Bath City have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Malvern Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Bath City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City 2-1 Malvern Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Bath City vs Malvern Town on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malvern Town score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Bath City | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malvern Town sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern South (11 points from 12 matches) and Bath City sit 5th (23 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bath City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 23 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 11 |
A question about Malvern Town vs Bath City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Bath City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Malvern Town vs Bath City played?
- Malvern Town vs Bath City is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 27, 2026Taunton TownvsFrome Town
- Oct 27, 2026BerkhamstedvsSholing
- Oct 27, 2026Basingstoke TownvsUxbridge
- Oct 27, 2026Bracknell TownvsGosport Borough
- Oct 27, 2026Chichester CityvsHanworth Villa
- Oct 27, 2026Hanwell TownvsHavant & Wville
- Oct 27, 2026Poole TownvsChertsey Town
- Oct 27, 2026Yate TownvsWimborne Town