Floresta vs AO Itabaiana: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D16th FinalsKick-off on December 5, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Floresta vs AO Itabaiana?
Floresta won 2-1 on December 5, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 22′Flávio TorresFloresta
- 45′JôFloresta
- 75′BirunguetaAO Itabaiana (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Floresta have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; AO Itabaiana have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2020 | Afogados(home) | 5-1 | Serie D |
| Nov 22, 2020 | America-RN(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Atlético Alagoinhas(away) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Campinense(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Guarany de Sobral(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2020 | ABC(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Central SC(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Coruripe(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Jacyobá(home) | 7-0 | Serie D |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Frei Paulistano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Floresta score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AO Itabaiana score 2.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floresta | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| AO Itabaiana | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy