Florgrade vs Salgueiros: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 12Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Buçaquinho, Cortegaça
The Footlab AI model makes Florgrade the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Salgueiros. The most likely score is 0-0. If Florgrade wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Florgrade vs Salgueiros?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Florgrade (1,917) and Salgueiros (1,946).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Florgrade vs Salgueiros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Florgrade
Not enough data to predict the Florgrade lineup.
Salgueiros
Not enough data to predict the Salgueiros lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Florgrade have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Salgueiros have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Machico(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cinfães(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sousense(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Florgrade win, 1 draw, 2 Salgueiros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Salgueiros 2-0 Florgrade | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Florgrade 1-1 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Florgrade 1-0 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Salgueiros 1-0 Florgrade | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Salgueiros vs Florgrade on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Florgrade score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Salgueiros score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florgrade | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Salgueiros | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Florgrade sit 6th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (7 points from 5 matches) and Salgueiros sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Florgrade | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
A question about Florgrade vs Salgueiros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Florgrade vs Salgueiros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Florgrade the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Salgueiros.
- Where and when is Florgrade vs Salgueiros played?
- Florgrade vs Salgueiros is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Buçaquinho, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.