Fluminense vs Avai: result 1-2 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil3rd RoundKick-off on March 1, 2018 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Fluminense vs Avai?
Avai won 1-2 on March 1, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 11′IbañezFluminense
- 44′André Francisco MoritzAvai
- 76′RômuloAvai
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Avai have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | Salgueiro(home) | 5-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jan 31, 2018 | Caldense(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2017 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | Juventude(away) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 7, 2018 | Ceilândia(away) | 3-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2017 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Fluminense win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Avai win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2017 | Fluminense 1-0 Avai | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2017 | Avai 0-3 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Fluminense 3-1 Avai | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Avai 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Fluminense 3-1 Avai | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Avai 0-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avai score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Avai | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy