Fluminense vs Vila Nova: result 3-2 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil3rd RoundKick-off on April 20, 2022 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Fluminense vs Vila Nova?
Fluminense won 3-2 on April 20, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 37′Rafael DonatoVila Nova
- 57′Pablo DyegoVila Nova
- 67′PH GansoFluminense (pen.)
- 72′G. CanoFluminense
- 88′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Vila Nova have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Junior(away) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Santos(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | Novorizontino(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 8, 2022 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Mar 22, 2022 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 1 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 2-3 | Goiano - 1 |
| Mar 16, 2022 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 2-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vila Nova score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Vila Nova | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy