Match

Foggia vs Bari: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 33Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, Foggia

FoggiaBari

The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Foggia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bari wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Foggia vs Bari?

Bari starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,765 vs 1,595).

29%28%43%
Foggia winDrawBari win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Foggia vs Bari

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Foggia

4-2-3-1
  1. 16H. Haoudi
  1. 14F. Zuccon
  2. 4A. Gallo
  3. 8M. Coulibaly
  4. 37Valdes Ngana
  5. 7E. Oviszach
  1. 2G. Todisco
  2. 21F. Berra
  3. 3M. Seck
  4. 6D. Di Pasquale
  1. 22G. Saro

Bari

4-3-1-2
  1. 7K. Butić
  2. 24F. Bianchi
  1. 25G. Maggiore
  2. 5E. Darboe
  3. 21M. Della Morte
  4. 11A. Tribuzzi
  1. 79M. Elia
  2. 6V. Mogoș
  3. 72N. Cocetta
  4. 14M. Anzolin
  1. 31M. Cerofolini

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foggia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bari have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Foggia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Potenza(home)1-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Cosenza(away)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Sorrento(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Inter U23(away)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Savoia(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Bari
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Giugliano(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Salernitana(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Cosenza(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Sorrento(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Potenza(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Foggia win, 3 draws, 2 Bari wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2022Foggia 2-2 BariSerie C - Girone C
Oct 20, 2021Bari 1-1 FoggiaSerie C - Girone C
May 19, 2021Bari 3-1 FoggiaSerie C - Girone A
Feb 27, 2021Bari 1-0 FoggiaSerie C - Girone C
Nov 1, 2020Foggia 1-0 BariSerie C - Girone C
Apr 21, 2018Foggia 1-1 BariSerie B

Last archived meeting: Foggia vs Bari on Feb 26, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Foggia score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Foggia0.91.256/154/15
Bari1.30.6104/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Foggia sit 13th in Serie C - Girone C (11 points from 9 matches) and Bari sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bari961213619
13Foggia932491011

A question about Foggia vs Bari?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Foggia vs Bari?
The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Foggia.
Where and when is Foggia vs Bari played?
Foggia vs Bari is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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