Foggia vs Catania: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Foggia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Foggia vs Catania?
Catania starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foggia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Catania have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Monopoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Parma(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| May 27, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-4 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Foggia win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Catania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Foggia 1-1 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Catania 6-0 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Catania 1-1 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Foggia 2-2 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Foggia 1-1 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Catania 0-2 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Foggia score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Catania score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foggia | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Catania | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Foggia sit 7th in Serie C - Girone C (3 points from 1 matches) and Catania sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Foggia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Catania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Foggia vs Catania?
- The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Foggia.
- Where and when is Foggia vs Catania played?
- Foggia vs Catania is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.