Potenza vs Sorrento: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Sorrento. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,933 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Potenza vs Sorrento?
Potenza starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,764).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Potenza vs Sorrento
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Potenza
4-3-3- 10G. D'Auria
- 30L. Petrungaro
- 70Gabriele Selleri
- 24A. Bando
- 8M. Castorani
- 77M. Ghisolfi
- 6G. Loiacono
- 26N. Kirwan
- 3L. Russo
- 47R. Bura
- 17T. Cucchietti
Sorrento
4-3-3- 7E. Starita
- 9S. Parker
- 19A. Bolzan
- 8M. Cuccurullo
- 28L. Capezzi
- 3L. Crecco
- 33A. Viscardi
- 6F. Fusco
- 2M. Puzone
- 27C. Loreto
- 22S. Harrasser
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potenza have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Sorrento have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bari(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Team Altamura(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Catania(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foggia(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Savoia(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Inter U23(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Scafatese(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Potenza wins, 2 draws, 0 Sorrento wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Potenza 3-0 Sorrento | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sorrento 2-2 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Sorrento 0-2 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Potenza 1-0 Sorrento | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Sorrento 1-1 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Potenza 3-0 Sorrento | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Potenza score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sorrento score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potenza | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Sorrento | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Potenza sit 1st in Serie C - Girone C (29 points from 12 matches) and Sorrento sit 4th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Sorrento | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 20 |
A question about Potenza vs Sorrento?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Potenza vs Sorrento?
- The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Sorrento.
- Where and when is Potenza vs Sorrento played?
- Potenza vs Sorrento is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.