Foggia vs SS Monopoli: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Foggia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Foggia vs SS Monopoli?
SS Monopoli starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foggia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; SS Monopoli have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Monopoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Team Altamura(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Foggia win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SS Monopoli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Monopoli 1-0 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Foggia 2-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 13, 2025 | SS Monopoli 1-0 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Foggia 1-4 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Foggia 1-2 SS Monopoli | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Foggia 3-2 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: SS Monopoli vs Foggia on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Foggia score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SS Monopoli score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foggia | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| SS Monopoli | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Foggia sit 7th in Serie C - Girone C (3 points from 1 matches) and SS Monopoli sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Foggia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | SS Monopoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Foggia vs SS Monopoli?
- The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Foggia.
- Where and when is Foggia vs SS Monopoli played?
- Foggia vs SS Monopoli is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.