Potenza vs Salernitana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Salernitana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Potenza wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Potenza vs Salernitana?
On Elo ratings, Potenza has 1,961 points and Salernitana 1,887.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Potenza vs Salernitana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Potenza
4-3-3- 10G. D'Auria
- 30L. Petrungaro
- 70Gabriele Selleri
- 24A. Bando
- 8M. Castorani
- 77M. Ghisolfi
- 6G. Loiacono
- 26N. Kirwan
- 3L. Russo
- 47R. Bura
- 17T. Cucchietti
Salernitana
4-3-3- 11E. D'Ursi
- 10F. Lescano
- 7I. Achik
- 32M. Vitale
- 8M. Tascone
- 6K. de Boer
- 5D. Celiento
- 16M. Llano
- 33A. Anastasio
- 14L. Villa
- 12C. Galeotti
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potenza have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Salernitana have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bari(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Team Altamura(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Catania(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foggia(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 26, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bari(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Potenza win, 1 draw, 1 Salernitana win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Salernitana 4-2 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Potenza 5-2 Salernitana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Salernitana 1-1 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Salernitana vs Potenza on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Potenza score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Salernitana score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potenza | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Salernitana | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Potenza sit 1st in Serie C - Girone C (29 points from 12 matches) and Salernitana sit 12th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 29 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Potenza vs Salernitana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Potenza vs Salernitana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Salernitana.
- Where and when is Potenza vs Salernitana played?
- Potenza vs Salernitana is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.