Folgore vs Virtus: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Falciano, Falciano
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Folgore. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folgore vs Virtus?
Virtus starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,510 vs 1,300).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Folgore vs Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Folgore
Not enough data to predict the Folgore lineup.
Virtus
4-3-3- 90S. Scappini
- 11T. Lombardi
- 93G. Piscitella
- 17A. Golinucci
- 10I. Buonocunto
- 21A. Amati
- 15N. Gori
- 34U. De Lucia
- 30Mirco De Santis
- 45E. Ciacci
- 39A. Passaniti
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 02:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Virtus have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tre Penne(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Libertas(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Libertas(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 5-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Murata(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 5-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Folgore wins, 0 draws, 6 Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Folgore 1-2 Virtus | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Virtus 2-1 Folgore | Campionato |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Folgore 0-2 Virtus | Campionato |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Virtus 1-0 Folgore | Campionato |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Virtus 2-0 Folgore | Campionato |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Folgore 0-2 Virtus | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Folgore score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore | 2.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Virtus | 1.9 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folgore sit 2nd in Campionato (18 points from 6 matches) and Virtus sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
| 2 | Folgore | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 18 |
A question about Folgore vs Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folgore vs Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Folgore.
- Where and when is Folgore vs Virtus played?
- Folgore vs Virtus is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Falciano, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.