Tre Penne vs Murata: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo, Città di San Marino
The Footlab AI model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Murata. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tre Penne vs Murata?
Tre Penne is a heavy favourite: 1,411 Elo points against 916, a 495-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tre Penne vs Murata
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tre Penne
Not enough data to predict the Tre Penne lineup.
Murata
Not enough data to predict the Murata lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tre Penne have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Murata have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 2-2 | Campionato |
| Oct 9, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cosmos(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Tre Penne wins, 1 draw, 0 Murata wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Murata 0-4 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Tre Penne 2-0 Murata | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Tre Penne 2-2 Murata | Campionato |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Murata 2-4 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| May 18, 2024 | Murata 2-3 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Murata 0-2 Tre Penne | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Tre Penne score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Murata score 0.7 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Penne | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Murata | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tre Penne sit 4th in Campionato (16 points from 6 matches) and Murata sit 14th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tre Penne | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
| 14 | Murata | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
A question about Tre Penne vs Murata?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tre Penne vs Murata?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Murata.
- Where and when is Tre Penne vs Murata played?
- Tre Penne vs Murata is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.