Forest Green vs Port Vale: result 2-3 and analysis
FA Cup1st RoundKick-off on November 3, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
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What was the result of Forest Green vs Port Vale?
Port Vale won 2-3 on November 3, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 7′Ashley VincentPort Vale
- 12′C. McDonaldPort Vale
- 34′J. NorwoodForest Green
- 49′Eddie OshodiForest Green
- 80′B. WilliamsonPort Vale
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Port Vale have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Luton(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Dartford(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Dartford(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Mansfield Town(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Tamworth(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Wycombe(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2012 | Oxford United(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Walsall(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 2.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Port Vale | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy