Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Forfar
The Footlab model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Forfar Athletic (1,528) and Dumbarton (1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forfar Athletic have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Dumbarton have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Forfar Athletic win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dumbarton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 2-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dumbarton 1-4 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 2-3 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Forfar Athletic 0-2 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbarton score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar Athletic | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Dumbarton | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forfar Athletic sit 3rd in League Two (7 points from 4 matches) and Dumbarton sit 9th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton?
- The Footlab model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton played?
- Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.