Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The moreroom.com Stadium, Dumbarton
The Footlab AI model makes Dumbarton the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dumbarton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Dumbarton (1,430) and Kelty Hearts (1,460).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Kelty Hearts
4-1-3-2- 11R. Cole
- 9K. Higginbotham
- 14J. Hislop
- 10I. Murray
- 26R. Cunningham
- 17M. Falconer
- 15A. Davidson
- 5C. Flatman
- 25G. Walker
- 3C. Hannah
- 1J. Smith
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbarton have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-5 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dumbarton wins, 2 draws, 2 Kelty Hearts wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kelty Hearts 3-1 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Dumbarton 3-3 Kelty Hearts | Challenge Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kelty Hearts 0-6 Dumbarton | League One |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Dumbarton 2-0 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Kelty Hearts 2-0 Dumbarton | League One |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Dumbarton 2-2 Kelty Hearts | League One |
Last archived meeting: Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dumbarton sit 6th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Kelty Hearts sit 5th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dumbarton the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts played?
- Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The moreroom.com Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.