Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Forfar
The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Forfar Athletic (1,531) and Elgin City (1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forfar Athletic have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Elgin City have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Forfar Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Elgin City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City 1-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 2-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Elgin City 2-0 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 4-2 Elgin City | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Elgin City 2-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Elgin City 0-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar Athletic | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Elgin City | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forfar Athletic sit 3rd in League Two (7 points from 4 matches) and Elgin City sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Elgin City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?
- The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Forfar Athletic.
- Where and when is Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City played?
- Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.