Stirling Albion vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Forthbank Stadium, Stirling
The Footlab model makes Stirling Albion the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stirling Albion vs Kelty Hearts?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Stirling Albion (1,489) and Kelty Hearts (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stirling Albion have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 4-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Motherwell U21(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stirling Albion win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kelty Hearts win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kelty Hearts 3-2 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Kelty Hearts 1-0 Stirling Albion | League One |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Stirling Albion 5-0 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Kelty Hearts 1-0 Stirling Albion | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Stirling Albion 1-0 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Kelty Hearts 1-1 Stirling Albion | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stirling Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling Albion | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stirling Albion sit 6th in League Two (4 points from 4 matches) and Kelty Hearts sit 4th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Stirling Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stirling Albion vs Kelty Hearts?
- The Footlab model makes Stirling Albion the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Stirling Albion vs Kelty Hearts played?
- Stirling Albion vs Kelty Hearts is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Forthbank Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.