Forli vs Parma: result 3-5 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 15, 2016 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forlì
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What was the result of Forli vs Parma?
Parma won 3-5 on October 15, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 13′Nicola CapelliniForli
- 22′Giuseppe PonsatForli
- 26′209380Parma
- 43′M. ScavoneParma
- 45′194867Forli
- 66′Felice EvacuoParma
- 76′Y. BarayeParma
- 90′E. CalaiòParma (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Forli have 0 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Parma have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2016 | Gubbio(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Feralpisalo(away) | 0-5 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Sambenedettese(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Sudtirol(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Albinoleffe(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2016 | Feralpisalo(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Sambenedettese(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Pordenone(away) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Venezia(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Forli score 0.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 8; Parma score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forli | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
| Parma | 1.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy