Forli vs Progresso: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 3, 2019 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forlì
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What was the result of Forli vs Progresso?
Forli won 1-0 on November 3, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forli have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Progresso have 4, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2019 | Correggese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Crema(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Fiorenzuola(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Mantova(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Mezzolara(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2019 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Vigor Carpaneto(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Lentigione(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Sammaurese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Calvina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Forli score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forli | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Progresso | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Progresso | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 41 | 36 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy