Formartine United vs Forres Mechanics: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 25Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)North Lodge Park, Pitmedden
The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Forres Mechanics. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Formartine United vs Forres Mechanics?
Formartine United starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Formartine United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Forres Mechanics have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deveronvale(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Formartine United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Forres Mechanics win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Formartine United 2-1 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Forres Mechanics 1-3 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Forres Mechanics 1-1 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Formartine United 2-3 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Forres Mechanics 0-4 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Formartine United 2-0 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Formartine United vs Forres Mechanics on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Forres Mechanics score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Forres Mechanics | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Formartine United sit 3rd in Football League - Highland League (71 points from 34 matches) and Forres Mechanics sit 13th (40 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Formartine United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 71 |
| 13 | Forres Mechanics | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 67 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Formartine United vs Forres Mechanics?
- The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Forres Mechanics.
- Where and when is Formartine United vs Forres Mechanics played?
- Formartine United vs Forres Mechanics is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at North Lodge Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027ClachnacuddinvsFraserburgh
- Jan 23, 2027DeveronvalevsNairn County
- Jan 23, 2027LossiemouthvsInverurie Loco Works
- Jan 23, 2027RothesvsBuckie Thistle
- Jan 23, 2027Turriff UnitedvsBrora Rangers
- Jan 23, 2027Wick AcademyvsKeith
- Jan 23, 2027HuntlyvsStrathspey Thistle
- Jan 23, 2027InvergordonvsBanks O' Dee