Wick Academy vs Keith: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 25Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Harmsworth Park, Wick
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Wick Academy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wick Academy vs Keith?
Keith starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,476 vs 1,264).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wick Academy have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Keith have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Invergordon(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-8 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wick Academy win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Keith win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Wick Academy 2-3 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Keith 3-2 Wick Academy | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Keith 0-1 Wick Academy | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Wick Academy 0-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Keith 0-4 Wick Academy | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Wick Academy 2-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Wick Academy score 0.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wick Academy | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wick Academy sit 16th in Football League - Highland League (28 points from 34 matches) and Keith sit 6th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 16 | Wick Academy | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 65 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wick Academy vs Keith?
- The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Wick Academy.
- Where and when is Wick Academy vs Keith played?
- Wick Academy vs Keith is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Harmsworth Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Formartine UnitedvsForres Mechanics
- Jan 23, 2027ClachnacuddinvsFraserburgh
- Jan 23, 2027DeveronvalevsNairn County
- Jan 23, 2027LossiemouthvsInverurie Loco Works
- Jan 23, 2027RothesvsBuckie Thistle
- Jan 23, 2027Turriff UnitedvsBrora Rangers
- Jan 23, 2027HuntlyvsStrathspey Thistle
- Jan 23, 2027InvergordonvsBanks O' Dee