Fortaleza EC vs Ceara: result 0-1 and analysis
Cearense - 1FinalsKick-off on March 15, 2025 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
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What was the result of Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
Ceara won 0-1 on March 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 82′Fernando SobralCeara (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Ceara have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Ferroviario(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Ferroviario(home) | 4-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Ferroviario(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Vitoria(home) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Altos(away) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | Confiança(home) | 2-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Maracanã(home) | 4-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | America-RN(home) | 1-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Maracanã(away) | 3-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Sergipe(away) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortaleza EC win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Ceara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Fortaleza EC 1-2 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Ceara 1-1 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 0-0 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 0-1 Ceara | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 3-3 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Ceara 2-2 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 1.8 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Ceara | 1.8 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza EC sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Ceara sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 1 | Fortaleza EC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy