Fortis vs Chattogram: prediction and stats
Federation CupGroup StageKick-off on December 8, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka
The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Chattogram. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortis vs Chattogram?
Fortis starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,499 vs 1,287).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortis vs Chattogram
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortis
4-3-3- 10P. Babou
- 19M. Ibrahim
- 9S. Chukwude
- 8A. K. Ghazi A.
- 13A. Fahad
- 6M. Mona
- 2R. Hossain
- 3M. Mithu Chowdhury
- 23M. Alam
- 4E. Jallow
- 1Weerasinghe Sinnath Thommelage Don Sujan Perera
Chattogram
4-3-3- 20S. Reza
- 29Asadul Islam Sakib
- 17S. Z. Nipu
- 16S. Islam
- 24S. Hossain Sayem
- 98M. Kahraba
- 2M. Alam
- 4M. Hasan
- 15N. Chakma
- 21Shakir Ahmed
- 22M. Bappi Hasan
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortis have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Chattogram have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | City Club(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fakirerpool(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Muras United(home) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rahmatgonj MFS(away) | 3-1 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | City Club(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bangladesh Police(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Abahani(away) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Fortis(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Fortis win, 0 draws, 0 Chattogram wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Fortis 6-0 Chattogram | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortis score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chattogram score 1.0 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortis | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chattogram | 1.0 | 2.6 | 0 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Fortis vs Chattogram?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortis vs Chattogram?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Chattogram.
- Where and when is Fortis vs Chattogram played?
- Fortis vs Chattogram is played on December 8, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Bashundhara Kings Arena, in the Federation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Fortis1-1Fakirerpool
- Sep 23, 2026Brothers Union0-0Rahmatgonj MFS
- Sep 25, 2026Abahani1-1Chattogram
- Oct 6, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka3-1Arambagh
- Oct 6, 2026Bangladesh Police1-1City Club
- Oct 6, 2026Dhaka Wanderers0-5Bashundhara Kings
- Oct 13, 2026Rahmatgonj MFS1-3Chattogram
- Oct 13, 2026Brothers Union4-1Fakirerpool