Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Fortuna Köln?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Fortuna Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Fortuna Köln played?
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Fortuna Köln is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027MSV DuisburgvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Feb 13, 2027SV WehenvsHansa Rostock
- Feb 13, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Feb 13, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsSV Meppen
- Feb 13, 2027Alemannia AachenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Feb 13, 2027VerlvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Feb 13, 2027HavelsevsPreußen Münster
- Feb 13, 2027Hoffenheim IIvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach