MSV Duisburg vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for SSV Jahn Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SSV Jahn Regensburg have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 MSV Duisburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SSV Jahn Regensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | MSV Duisburg 2-0 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 0-4 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MSV Duisburg 0-1 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 2-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Mar 9, 2019 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-1 MSV Duisburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 29, 2018 | MSV Duisburg 1-3 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs SSV Jahn Regensburg on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Jahn Regensburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and SSV Jahn Regensburg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for SSV Jahn Regensburg.
- Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs SSV Jahn Regensburg played?
- MSV Duisburg vs SSV Jahn Regensburg is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsFortuna Köln
- Feb 13, 2027SV WehenvsHansa Rostock
- Feb 13, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Feb 13, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsSV Meppen
- Feb 13, 2027Alemannia AachenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Feb 13, 2027VerlvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Feb 13, 2027HavelsevsPreußen Münster
- Feb 13, 2027Hoffenheim IIvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach