Fortuna Köln II vs Düren Merzenich: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 23Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln II the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Düren Merzenich. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln II vs Düren Merzenich?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln II (1,757) and Düren Merzenich (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Düren Merzenich have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Fortuna Köln II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Düren Merzenich win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Düren Merzenich 2-5 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Fortuna Köln II 0-2 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Fortuna Köln II 1-7 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Düren Merzenich 4-0 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Fortuna Köln II 0-2 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Köln II on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln II score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Düren Merzenich score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Düren Merzenich | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln II sit 10th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (45 points from 30 matches) and Düren Merzenich sit 11th (38 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fortuna Köln II | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 47 | 45 |
| 11 | Düren Merzenich | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 59 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln II vs Düren Merzenich?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln II the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Düren Merzenich.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln II vs Düren Merzenich played?
- Fortuna Köln II vs Düren Merzenich is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.