TuS BW Königsdorf vs SSV Merten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 23Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Königsdorf, Frechen
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for TuS BW Königsdorf. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS BW Königsdorf vs SSV Merten?
SSV Merten starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS BW Königsdorf have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; SSV Merten have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | SF Düren(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 TuS BW Königsdorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 SSV Merten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | SSV Merten 3-1 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 7, 2025 | TuS BW Königsdorf 1-0 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 30, 2025 | SSV Merten 3-1 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 15, 2024 | TuS BW Königsdorf 3-1 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Feb 15, 2023 | TuS BW Königsdorf 4-1 SSV Merten | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: SSV Merten vs TuS BW Königsdorf on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TuS BW Königsdorf score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS BW Königsdorf | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuS BW Königsdorf sit 9th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (46 points from 30 matches) and SSV Merten sit 4th (60 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
| 9 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 54 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS BW Königsdorf vs SSV Merten?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for TuS BW Königsdorf.
- Where and when is TuS BW Königsdorf vs SSV Merten played?
- TuS BW Königsdorf vs SSV Merten is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Königsdorf, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.