Fortuna Regensburg vs Gebenbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 29Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Projekt 29 Arena, Regensburg
The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Regensburg vs Gebenbach?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Fortuna Regensburg (1,777) and Gebenbach (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Regensburg have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Gebenbach have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fortuna Regensburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gebenbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Gebenbach 3-1 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Fortuna Regensburg 1-1 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Fortuna Regensburg 2-2 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Gebenbach 1-5 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Gebenbach 4-0 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Fortuna Regensburg 1-2 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Gebenbach vs Fortuna Regensburg on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gebenbach score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Gebenbach | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Regensburg sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (45 points from 32 matches) and Gebenbach sit 4th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gebenbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 53 |
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Regensburg vs Gebenbach?
- The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Regensburg.
- Where and when is Fortuna Regensburg vs Gebenbach played?
- Fortuna Regensburg vs Gebenbach is played on April 23, 2027 at 04:15 PM (UTC) at Projekt 29 Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.