Gebenbach vs Stadeln: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 30Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Sportgelände Gebenbach, Gebenbach
The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Stadeln. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gebenbach vs Stadeln?
Gebenbach starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gebenbach have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Stadeln have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cham(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Gebenbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stadeln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Gebenbach 3-0 Stadeln | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Stadeln 2-0 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Gebenbach score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stadeln score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gebenbach | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Stadeln | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gebenbach sit 4th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (53 points from 32 matches) and Stadeln sit 15th (35 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gebenbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 53 |
| 15 | Stadeln | 32 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 65 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gebenbach vs Stadeln?
- The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Stadeln.
- Where and when is Gebenbach vs Stadeln played?
- Gebenbach vs Stadeln is played on April 27, 2027 at 04:15 PM (UTC) at Sportgelände Gebenbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 27, 2027NordlingenvsKornburg
- Apr 27, 2027Eintracht BambergvsDJK Bamberg
- Apr 27, 2027Ingolstadt IIvsASV Neumarkt
- Apr 27, 2027Jahn Regensburg IIvsFortuna Regensburg
- Apr 27, 2027Würzburger FVvsBayern Hof
- Apr 27, 2027Viktoria AschaffenburgvsWeiden
- Apr 27, 2027ChamvsGroßbardorf
- Apr 28, 2027NeudrossenfeldvsAmmerthal