Francavilla vs Gravina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, Francavilla in Sinni
The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Francavilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gravina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Francavilla vs Gravina?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Francavilla (1,691) and Gravina (1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Francavilla vs Gravina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Francavilla lineup.
Gravina
Not enough data to predict the Gravina lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Francavilla have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Gravina have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gravina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Francavilla win, 2 draws, 3 Gravina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gravina 1-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Gravina 2-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Francavilla 0-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Francavilla 2-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Gravina 0-0 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Gravina 2-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Gravina vs Francavilla on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Francavilla score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gravina score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francavilla | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gravina | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Francavilla sit 17th in Serie D - Girone H (5 points from 8 matches) and Gravina sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gravina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Francavilla vs Gravina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Francavilla vs Gravina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Francavilla.
- Where and when is Francavilla vs Gravina played?
- Francavilla vs Gravina is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.