Gravina vs Francavilla: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino, Gravina in Puglia
The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Francavilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gravina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gravina vs Francavilla?
On Elo ratings, Gravina has 1,763 points and Francavilla 1,669.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gravina vs Francavilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gravina
Not enough data to predict the Gravina lineup.
Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Francavilla lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gravina have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Francavilla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gravina wins, 2 draws, 1 Francavilla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Gravina 2-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Francavilla 0-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Francavilla 2-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Gravina 0-0 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Gravina 2-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Francavilla 1-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Gravina vs Francavilla on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gravina score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Francavilla score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravina | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Francavilla | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gravina sit 6th in Serie D - Girone H (12 points from 7 matches) and Francavilla sit 17th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gravina | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
A question about Gravina vs Francavilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gravina vs Francavilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Francavilla.
- Where and when is Gravina vs Francavilla played?
- Gravina vs Francavilla is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.