Francavilla vs Nardò: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, Francavilla in Sinni
The Footlab AI model makes Francavilla the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Nardò. The most likely score is 1-1. If Francavilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Francavilla vs Nardò?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Francavilla (1,691) and Nardò (1,719).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Francavilla vs Nardò
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Francavilla lineup.
Nardò
Not enough data to predict the Nardò lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Francavilla have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Nardò have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gravina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brindisi(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Francavilla win, 2 draws, 3 Nardò wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nardò 2-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Francavilla 1-1 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Francavilla 1-2 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Nardò 0-0 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Francavilla 2-1 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Nardò 2-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Francavilla score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nardò score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francavilla | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nardò | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Francavilla sit 17th in Serie D - Girone H (5 points from 8 matches) and Nardò sit 18th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Francavilla | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 18 | Nardò | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Francavilla vs Nardò?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Francavilla vs Nardò?
- The Footlab AI model makes Francavilla the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Nardò.
- Where and when is Francavilla vs Nardò played?
- Francavilla vs Nardò is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.