Nocerina vs Nardò: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio San Francesco, Nocera Inferiore
The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Nardò. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nocerina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nocerina vs Nardò?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Nocerina (1,735) and Nardò (1,699).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nocerina vs Nardò
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nocerina
Not enough data to predict the Nocerina lineup.
Nardò
Not enough data to predict the Nardò lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nocerina have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Nardò have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Melfi(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nocerina wins, 1 draw, 1 Nardò win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Nocerina 2-0 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Nardò 1-3 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Nocerina 1-3 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Nardò 2-2 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Nardò 0-2 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 20, 2021 | Nocerina 2-0 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Nocerina score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nardò score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocerina | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nardò | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nocerina sit 5th in Serie D - Girone H (13 points from 7 matches) and Nardò sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nocerina | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 15 | Nardò | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Nocerina vs Nardò?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nocerina vs Nardò?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Nardò.
- Where and when is Nocerina vs Nardò played?
- Nocerina vs Nardò is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio San Francesco, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.