France vs Germany: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 16, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
Full time
What was the result of France vs Germany?
France won 2-1 on October 16, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 14′T. KroosGermany (pen.)
- 62′A. GriezmannFrance
- 80′A. GriezmannFrance (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Germany have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2018 | Iceland(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Netherlands(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Germany(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 15, 2018 | Croatia(home) | 4-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 10, 2018 | Belgium(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | Netherlands(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Peru(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 6, 2018 | France(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 27, 2018 | South Korea(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2018 | Sweden(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 France win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Germany win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2018 | Germany 0-0 France | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2017 | Germany 2-2 France | Friendlies |
| Jul 7, 2016 | Germany 0-2 France | Euro Championship |
| Jul 4, 2014 | France 0-1 Germany | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
France score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Germany score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Germany | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy