Poland vs Italy: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 14, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Śląski, Chorzów
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What was the result of Poland vs Italy?
Italy won 0-1 on October 14, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′C. BiraghiItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poland have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Italy have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2018 | Portugal(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Italy(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 28, 2018 | Japan(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 24, 2018 | Colombia(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Ukraine(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 10, 2018 | Portugal(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Poland(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Netherlands(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2018 | France(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Poland win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2018 | Italy 1-1 Poland | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Poland score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Italy | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy