Francs Borains vs Excelsior Virton: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Urbain, Boussu
The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Francs Borains. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Francs Borains vs Excelsior Virton?
Excelsior Virton starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Francs Borains have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Excelsior Virton have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Liège(away) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Tubize(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strasbourg II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Francs Borains score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Virton score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francs Borains | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Excelsior Virton | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Francs Borains sit 10th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior Virton sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Francs Borains | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Francs Borains vs Excelsior Virton?
- The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Francs Borains.
- Where and when is Francs Borains vs Excelsior Virton played?
- Francs Borains vs Excelsior Virton is played on April 24, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Urbain, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.