Liège vs KRC Genk II: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Rocourt, Liège
The Footlab model makes Liège the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for KRC Genk II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liège vs KRC Genk II?
Liège starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liège have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; KRC Genk II have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 3-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Patro Eisden(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waremme(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Liège(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Royal Antwerp II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Liège win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 KRC Genk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KRC Genk II 2-3 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | KRC Genk II 2-0 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Liège 5-0 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Liège 3-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | KRC Genk II 4-1 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Liège 5-0 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Liège score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; KRC Genk II score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liège | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| KRC Genk II | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liège sit 8th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and KRC Genk II sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Liège | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | KRC Genk II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liège vs KRC Genk II?
- The Footlab model makes Liège the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for KRC Genk II.
- Where and when is Liège vs KRC Genk II played?
- Liège vs KRC Genk II is played on April 24, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Rocourt, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.