Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 24Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Lossiemouth. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth?
Fraserburgh is a heavy favourite: 1,666 Elo points against 1,278 — a 388-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Lossiemouth have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keith(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rothes(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Fraserburgh win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lossiemouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth 0-4 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lossiemouth 0-4 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Fraserburgh 5-0 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Fraserburgh 5-0 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Lossiemouth 3-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Lossiemouth 0-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Lossiemouth vs Fraserburgh on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lossiemouth score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Lossiemouth | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fraserburgh sit 4th in Football League - Highland League (68 points from 34 matches) and Lossiemouth sit 17th (17 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
| 17 | Lossiemouth | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 76 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Lossiemouth.
- Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth played?
- Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Banks O' DeevsHuntly
- Jan 16, 2027Buckie ThistlevsInvergordon
- Jan 16, 2027Forres MechanicsvsDeveronvale
- Jan 16, 2027Inverurie Loco WorksvsBrora Rangers
- Jan 16, 2027KeithvsFormartine United
- Jan 16, 2027Nairn CountyvsClachnacuddin
- Jan 16, 2027Strathspey ThistlevsTurriff United
- Jan 16, 2027Wick AcademyvsRothes