Keith vs Formartine United: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 24Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab AI model makes Formartine United the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Keith. The most likely score is 1-1. If Formartine United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Formartine United?
Formartine United starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,582 vs 1,423).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Keith vs Formartine United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Keith
Not enough data to predict the Keith lineup.
Formartine United
Not enough data to predict the Formartine United lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Invergordon(home) | 6-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stonehaven(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-5 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wick Academy(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Deveronvale(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Keith win, 1 draw, 4 Formartine United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United 4-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Keith 2-1 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Formartine United 1-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Keith 1-3 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Formartine United 4-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Formartine United 6-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Formartine United vs Keith on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Formartine United sit 3rd (71 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Formartine United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 71 |
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
A question about Keith vs Formartine United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Formartine United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Formartine United the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Keith.
- Where and when is Keith vs Formartine United played?
- Keith vs Formartine United is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 16, 2027Forres MechanicsvsDeveronvale
- Jan 16, 2027Inverurie Loco WorksvsBrora Rangers
- Jan 16, 2027Nairn CountyvsClachnacuddin
- Jan 16, 2027Strathspey ThistlevsTurriff United
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