Keith vs Formartine United: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 24Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Keith. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Formartine United?
Formartine United starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,669 vs 1,476).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntly(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Keith win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Formartine United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United 4-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Keith 2-1 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Formartine United 1-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Keith 1-3 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Formartine United 4-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Formartine United 6-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Formartine United vs Keith on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Formartine United sit 3rd (71 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Formartine United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 71 |
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Formartine United?
- The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Keith.
- Where and when is Keith vs Formartine United played?
- Keith vs Formartine United is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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