Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano: result 1-0 and analysis
Sergipano1st Phase - 9Kick-off on March 15, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Etelvino Mendonça, Itabaiana, Sergipe
Full time
What was the result of Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano?
Frei Paulistano won 1-0 on March 15, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 80′PedrinhoFrei Paulistano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frei Paulistano have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Estanciano have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | AO Itabaiana(away) | 2-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Lagarto(away) | 0-4 | Sergipano |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Confiança(home) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Dorense(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Sergipe(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | América SE(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Falcon(away) | 1-4 | Sergipano |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Dorense(away) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Atlético Gloriense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Confiança(away) | 0-2 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Frei Paulistano score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estanciano score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frei Paulistano | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Estanciano | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy