Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Bourges Foot: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël
The Footlab AI model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Bourges Foot. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fréjus St-Raphaël wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Bourges Foot?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,716) and Bourges Foot (1,679).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Bourges Foot
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Not enough data to predict the Fréjus St-Raphaël lineup.
Bourges Foot
4-3-3- 11Tiago Cardoso Moura
- 14I. Keita
- 9Mouhamed Waliou Ndoye
- 10J. Debal
- 8J. Hardouin
- 7Demba Diallo
- 2B. Sambo
- 3C. Shiashia
- 4A. Bamba
- 6C. Wanduka
- 16N. Pistol
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bourges Foot have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2021 | Orleans(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Trélissac(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Moulins-Yzeure Foot 03(home) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Mont-de-Marsan(away) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bourges Foot score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Bourges Foot | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Bourges Foot?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Bourges Foot?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Bourges Foot.
- Where and when is Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Bourges Foot played?
- Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Bourges Foot is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis Hon, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.