Canet Roussillon vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saint-Michel, Canet-en-Roussillon
The Footlab model makes Canet Roussillon the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Canet Roussillon vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Canet Roussillon (1,690) and Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canet Roussillon have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud(away) | 1-2 | National 3 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Anglet Genets(home) | 3-1 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Blagnac(away) | 0-0 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lège-Cap-Ferret(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Canet Roussillon win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fréjus St-Raphaël win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-2 Canet Roussillon | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Canet Roussillon 1-0 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Canet Roussillon 4-2 Fréjus St-Raphaël | Coupe de France |
Last archived meeting: Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Canet Roussillon on Feb 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Canet Roussillon score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canet Roussillon | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Canet Roussillon sit 15th in National 2 - Group C (0 points from 1 matches) and Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Canet Roussillon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Canet Roussillon vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
- The Footlab model makes Canet Roussillon the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Canet Roussillon vs Fréjus St-Raphaël played?
- Canet Roussillon vs Fréjus St-Raphaël is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saint-Michel, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.