Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Chateauroux: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël
The Footlab AI model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Chateauroux. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fréjus St-Raphaël wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Chateauroux?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,745) and Chateauroux (1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Chateauroux
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Not enough data to predict the Fréjus St-Raphaël lineup.
Chateauroux
4-3-3- 12J. Koembo
- 19L. Piquionne
- 27W. Boussaid
- 5P. Wade
- 21Y. Chahid
- 10R. Freitas
- 39M. Beneddine
- 6G. Kelo
- 4D. Diarra
- 28S. Mopila
- 16L. Lavallée
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chateauroux have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | UF Touraine(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fréjus St-Raphaël win, 0 draws, 1 Chateauroux win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2016 | Chateauroux 3-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2015 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-0 Chateauroux | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Chateauroux vs Fréjus St-Raphaël on Jun 3, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chateauroux score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Chateauroux | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 8th in National 2 - Group C (9 points from 6 matches) and Chateauroux sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Chateauroux | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Chateauroux?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Chateauroux?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Chateauroux.
- Where and when is Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Chateauroux played?
- Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Chateauroux is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis Hon, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.