Toulon vs Nimes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Bon-Rencontre, Toulon
The Footlab model makes Nimes the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Toulon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toulon vs Nimes?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Toulon (1,743) and Nimes (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulon have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Nimes have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Bobigny(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Rodez(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nice(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Limonest(away) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Toulon win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nimes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Nimes 3-2 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Toulon 0-1 Nimes | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Toulon score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nimes score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulon | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Nimes | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulon sit 7th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Nimes sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nimes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Toulon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toulon vs Nimes?
- The Footlab model makes Nimes the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Toulon.
- Where and when is Toulon vs Nimes played?
- Toulon vs Nimes is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Bon-Rencontre, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.