Toulon vs Nimes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Bon-Rencontre, Toulon
The Footlab AI model makes Nimes the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Toulon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nimes wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toulon vs Nimes?
Nimes starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,814).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toulon vs Nimes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toulon
Not enough data to predict the Toulon lineup.
Nimes
4-3-3- 31Sory Doumbouya
- 13B. Toure
- 15N. Bennour
- 8C. Benhamza
- 9K. Tlili
- 23I. Semedo
- 4P. Martínez
- 11Diaby Doucoure
- 20E. Loubacky
- 28P. Mbemba
- 16L. Dias
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulon have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nimes have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Troyes II(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Troyes II(home) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Toulon wins, 0 draws, 2 Nimes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Nimes 3-2 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Toulon 0-1 Nimes | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Toulon score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nimes score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nimes | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulon sit 3rd in National 2 - Group C (11 points from 6 matches) and Nimes sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nimes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | Toulon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Toulon vs Nimes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toulon vs Nimes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nimes the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Toulon.
- Where and when is Toulon vs Nimes played?
- Toulon vs Nimes is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Bon-Rencontre, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.