Friedberg vs Baunatal: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)
The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Baunatal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friedberg vs Baunatal?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Friedberg (1,789) and Baunatal (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Baunatal have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Friedberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Baunatal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Friedberg 2-6 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Baunatal 4-0 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Baunatal 2-2 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Friedberg 4-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Friedberg 2-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Baunatal 1-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Friedberg vs Baunatal on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Baunatal score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedberg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Baunatal | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friedberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Baunatal sit 16th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Friedberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Baunatal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs Baunatal?
- The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Baunatal.
- Where and when is Friedberg vs Baunatal played?
- Friedberg vs Baunatal is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.